Digression On Oil Analysis
We noticed that in both the person level section, and the household level
section, there are 34,346 households that have oil heat. That tells us
that every house that is heated with oil has occupants. We would expect to
find some percentage of vacant homes to have oil heat.
If we had a lesser tool than we do, we might have to accept that all oil
heated homes were occupied on census day. Or more likely, with a lesser tool, we would not have even noticed this problem. We know of no other tool that does analyses at both the person and household levels, simultaneously.
But with our tools, it is a simple matter to look into the situation.
We wonder what kind of fuel the vacant houses are using. Note that in the
earlier analyses, we had recoded the heating fuels to show only electric, oil,
and "other". Below is an analysis of puma 3200, with a full
breakout on heating fuel, and also a dimension of "number of
occupants". This analysis is just as we would give it to the
customer, comma delimited to be fed into a data management tool.
Persons,Fuelheat,Houswgt
'0-0,N/A (GQ/vacant), 60199
'1+,Gas: Underground pipes, 6443
'1+,Gas: Bottled tank or LP, 3699
'1+,Electricity, 23438
'1+,Fuel oil kerosene etc., 34346
'1+,Coal or coke, 8066
'1+,Wood, 5353
'1+,Solar energy, 36
'1+,Other fuel, 119
'1+,No fuel used, 54
Persons,Fuelheat,PHouseholds
'1+,Gas: Underground pipes, 6443
'1+,Gas: Bottled tank or LP, 3699
'1+,Electricity, 23438
'1+,Fuel oil kerosene etc., 34346
'1+,Coal or coke, 8066
'1+,Wood, 5353
'1+,Solar energy, 36
'1+,Other fuel, 119
'1+,No fuel used, 54
We can see by the above numbers that the Census Bureau did not identify the
heating fuel for vacant houses. This is a problem for our oil dealer,
because there are a lot of vacant houses, and some percentage of the houses that
are vacant do use oil, but they probably use less oil than the occupied homes
do.
If the customer wanted to, we could at this point perform more simulations to
account for the unidentified homes. For example, we could determine what
percentage of homes in the area use oil heat (based on the homes which we know
to have an identified heat source), and we could bump up the existing oil heated
homes by the appropriate factor. We could account for the fact that these
homes use less oil (since they are vacant) and bump down the usage of oil by an
appropriate amount. But since this is an example, and we've already
demonstrated the simulation capabilities, we won't go into that here.
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